Friday, October 17, 2008

Obama will still win

I'm going to go out on a limb here, even after watching the sad spectacle that is cable teevee "news" and state I still think Obama will win. I just think the zeitgeist, the public mood, has changed, that a majority of the public recognizes the sad state of affairs in the country, and accurately knows who is to blame. Meanwhile, while the media still laps up it up, the standard right-wing attacks don't pack the same sting as in other years. I also think Obama has ridden enough of a wave here of where expectations are of his winning, and in most election cycles, that's how these things tend to play out; the candidate who is seen as being ahead for much of the race, ends up winning. 1992 was like that. Same with 1996 and even 2000, where w lead throughout much of the race. Ditto 2004.

One other thing. I think the national polls are still the key. Obviously a 49%-49% race means it will come down to a few key states. But if the spread is even 51%-49%, the electoral college will mostly likely reflect that. At the same time, with O ahead by increasingly consistent and comfortable margins in states like Colorado, Virginia, and now even Missouri, I think there's still reason to feel good. Kerry was never in this good a position four years ago. I think the winds of change are still blowing.

Crazy World

Here we go again. Cable teevee "news" still thinks joe da plumber makes $250k and shouldn't be taxed. And my cable teevee "news" is still talking about how much "sharper" mclame was in the debate even though opinion polls indicated the public scored the last debate a landslide Obama win. Geeesh.

Monday, October 13, 2008

Deja vu all over again, again

Previous Bulworth post:

Bush 2003: Bring them on.

McLame 2008 (right before second debate): The gloves will come off tonight.

OK, whatever.



"I'll crush Obama in debate", says Mclame, and

Mclame aide: "Turnaround" starts today.

I'm just getting all warm and tingly inside.

Neither will I

Steve Benen:

On Friday, Palin was found to have violated the public trust in an abuse of power scandal. On Saturday, it was on the front page of the major dailies. And on Sunday morning, NBC's "Meet the Press," ABC's "This Week," and CNN's "Late Edition" ignored the story altogether, despite lengthy discussions about recent political events, as if a major scandal involving a candidate for national office isn't particularly interesting. I'll simply never understand this.

Guess it's just our liberal media again.